Taiwan’s China Dilemma

Contested Identities and Multiple Interests in Taiwan’s Cross-Strait Economic Policy

Taiwan's China Dilemma explains the divergence between economic and political relations across the Taiwan Strait and the oscillation in Taiwan's economic policy through the interplay of national identity and economic interests. Using primary sources, opinion surveys, and interviews with Taiwanese opinion leaders, the book offers a vivid picture of one of the most unsettled and dangerous relationships in the contemporary world, and illustrates the growing backlash against economic liberalization and regional economic integration around the world.

  • “This important book offers an interesting new perspective on the politics of Taiwan’s evolving economic policy toward mainland China. The combination of a fresh theoretical approach—focusing on the role of national identity—and strong empirical analysis make Taiwan’s China Dilemma a must-read for anyone interested in the dynamic cross-Strait relationship.”

    Scott L. Kastner, University of Maryland, College Park

  • “On first glance, Taiwan’s economic policies toward China look very confusing. An economic logic alone does not explain the range of policy choices. But once one looks through the lens of Taiwan’s political identity, as Shirley Lin does in her Taiwan’s China Dilemma, all becomes clear. This is an important book.”

    Richard Bush, Brookings Institution

  • “Lin uses innovative theoretical constructs to show how national identity—defined as a dynamic, multidimensional social construct—shapes Taiwan’s evolving economic policy toward mainland China. Borrowing from an eclectic range of approaches, Lin sidesteps static binaries and moves the study of cross-Strait economic relations onto new, more fruitful ground.”

    Shelley Rigger, Davidson College

Abstract

As Taiwan has become increasingly dependent on mainland China economically, its policies toward China have fluctuated between liberalization and restriction. This study uses a framework that links national identity and economic interest to explain the ongoing debate over Taiwan’s cross-Strait economic policy and the oscillations this debate has produced in four episodes during the presidencies of Lee Teng-hui, Chen Shui-bian, and Ma Ying-jeou. The debate has revolved around competing opinion clusters, described here as Extensive Restriction, Moderate Restriction, Moderate Liberalization, and Extensive Liberalization. In the first two episodes, Taiwanese had not yet agreed on their national identity and the discussion was highly politicized, with Extensive Restrictionists and Extensive Liberalizers being most appealing. In the latter two, however, there was an increasing convergence on a definition of national identity, rooted in Taiwan’s distinctive values and institutions, rather than in ethnicity. Support for extreme policies dropped considerably, and the two moderate clusters became dominant. This consolidated national identity enabled a larger number of Taiwanese to dissociate economic policies from their future political preferences and definitions of national identity, and to rationally discuss the competing options. However, the debate remained intense, as Taiwanese attempted to balance a number of competing goals, including economic growth, equity, stability, security, and even international recognition and environmental sustainability. How Taiwan’s emerging national identity has shaped the evolution of its cross-Strait economic policy has implications for not only the future of cross-Strait relations but also the discipline of international political economy.

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